Robotics

ABI estimates Industrial robot shipment to grow at CAGR of 7.4%; 400K in 2024 to 649K by 2030

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Market analyst ABI Research estimated shipments of industrial robot to grow from approximately 400,000 in 2024 to 649,000 by 2030, a steady CAGR of 7.4%. In terms of revenue ABI estimates revenues generated from industrial robot hardware sales are set to rise from US$14.7 billion in 2024 to US$22.6 billion by the end of the decade. ABI here referring to industrial robot handling high payload, high repeatability including SCARA robots, often utilized for assembly tasks, delta robots which excel at rapid picking, and Cartesian robots, which can be deployed for material handling tasks.

“Macro trends will continue to influence the industrial robot market as the decade progresses,” states George Chowdhury, Robotics Industry Analyst at ABI Research. “Although the robotics market grew in 2024, a general slowdown of manufacturing markets was evident. The market is also becoming more competitive: several market leaders reported reductions in orders as China-based robotics OEMs begin to force incumbents out of certain regional markets. Uptake is further frustrated by collaborative robots demonstrating improvements in payload capabilities and declining ASPs. Small manufacturers present opportunities for both industrial and collaborative robot OEMs. Although collaborative robots may offer price and ease of use advantages, demand for the high repeatability and accuracy of industrial robotics will not abate.”

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Robot from Fanuc for wearhouse application

More findings from ABI:

The APAC region leads in industrial robot deployments, accounting for 70% of global shipments in 2024, with China alone representing nearly 40%. The automotive sector remains the top adopter, making up 38% of new shipments, followed by electronics assembly at 23%. Articulated robot arms, favored for their high payload capabilities in automotive manufacturing, comprised 70% of all robot shipments. The incumbent industrial robot manufacturers include FANUC, ABB, KUKA, Yaskawa, and Omron. Competing Chinese industrial robot vendors include SIASUN, STEP Electric, and Estun Automation.

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“The industrial robotics landscape is clearly changing. Reshoring and near-shoring initiatives are yet to begin in earnest. At the same time, the massive influx of Chinese robots into the market threatens the continued growth of well-established European and Japanese OEMs. Demand for manufacturing will not decline, but we may be in the middle of a changing of the guard when it comes to industrial robot OEMs,” Concludes Chowdhury.


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